COP21: A Hostage Situation
September 12, 2015
by Laughlin Artz
Editor, Context News
Having
now attended both the June and September UNFCCC Climate Change Conferences in
Bonn, I can now with absolute certainly report:
now attended both the June and September UNFCCC Climate Change Conferences in
Bonn, I can now with absolute certainly report:
COP21 is a hostage situation.
Here
is how it plays out. Every conference
attendee I have spoken with, which includes delegates, United Nations representatives and
government officials, when posed the question, “Do you agree that what we really
need to accomplish in Paris is an agreement that ensures that we will not
surpass the critical limit of 1.5 degrees C warming above pre-industrial level?”,
the response I got to a person was “Yes.”
To those same people, when I then asked “Is that the agreement we are
going to get?” the answer was an equally resounding “No.”
is how it plays out. Every conference
attendee I have spoken with, which includes delegates, United Nations representatives and
government officials, when posed the question, “Do you agree that what we really
need to accomplish in Paris is an agreement that ensures that we will not
surpass the critical limit of 1.5 degrees C warming above pre-industrial level?”,
the response I got to a person was “Yes.”
To those same people, when I then asked “Is that the agreement we are
going to get?” the answer was an equally resounding “No.”
As
someone witnessing this first-hand, in actual conversation with the key players
in the COP21 proceedings, it seemed completely bizarre. To find myself in the midst of a situation
where everyone agrees what we need and everyone also agrees we won’t get
it. There are plenty of explanations
available for why this is the case, and plenty offered by conference
participants; however none of them actually get to the heart of the
matter.
someone witnessing this first-hand, in actual conversation with the key players
in the COP21 proceedings, it seemed completely bizarre. To find myself in the midst of a situation
where everyone agrees what we need and everyone also agrees we won’t get
it. There are plenty of explanations
available for why this is the case, and plenty offered by conference
participants; however none of them actually get to the heart of the
matter.
It
is only when you delve into the contextual underpinnings of the environment in
which this is all happening that you can begin to get a glimpse of the logic
and the design shaping the ways in which these people are thinking, being, and
acting. At that level, the contextual
level, there is no mystery; it becomes very clear that it is all going
according to plan. The issue is that no
one is copping to the plan.
is only when you delve into the contextual underpinnings of the environment in
which this is all happening that you can begin to get a glimpse of the logic
and the design shaping the ways in which these people are thinking, being, and
acting. At that level, the contextual
level, there is no mystery; it becomes very clear that it is all going
according to plan. The issue is that no
one is copping to the plan.
Where
this came into stark illumination was on Day 3 of the conference. On that afternoon, there was an “emergency”
meeting called to address a severe lack of progress in the negotiations. It was labeled a “stocktaking” meeting, a
meeting with a stated intention of taking stock of the current rate of
progress, and determining a path forward that would increase the rate of progress. Having witnessed first-hand several of the
negotiation sessions, the lack of progress was no mystery to me, and I was
interested to see how the lack of progress would be addressed in this emergency
meeting.
this came into stark illumination was on Day 3 of the conference. On that afternoon, there was an “emergency”
meeting called to address a severe lack of progress in the negotiations. It was labeled a “stocktaking” meeting, a
meeting with a stated intention of taking stock of the current rate of
progress, and determining a path forward that would increase the rate of progress. Having witnessed first-hand several of the
negotiation sessions, the lack of progress was no mystery to me, and I was
interested to see how the lack of progress would be addressed in this emergency
meeting.
What
got voiced in the meeting was complaint after complaint about the lack of
progress and opinion after opinion as to who or what was to blame. Had
I had the opportunity to speak, I would have asked the question that no one was
asking, and that wasn’t even on anyone’s radar to ask. It was the question that could at least begin
to address the elephant in the room that no one could see. That question being: “Who here is accountable
for progress?” Or more specifically, in
the matter of the progress objective declared by the co-chairs at the
conference opening, “Whose job is it to ensure that the document progresses by
the end of this conference from a compilation of positions to a basis of
negotiation?”
got voiced in the meeting was complaint after complaint about the lack of
progress and opinion after opinion as to who or what was to blame. Had
I had the opportunity to speak, I would have asked the question that no one was
asking, and that wasn’t even on anyone’s radar to ask. It was the question that could at least begin
to address the elephant in the room that no one could see. That question being: “Who here is accountable
for progress?” Or more specifically, in
the matter of the progress objective declared by the co-chairs at the
conference opening, “Whose job is it to ensure that the document progresses by
the end of this conference from a compilation of positions to a basis of
negotiation?”
Had
that question been asked, and had the truth been told, the answer would have
been “no one.” What would have been said,
and I know this as a function of having asked the question “Who is accountable
for progress?” of a wide sampling of
conference participants is “we all are.”
Which is simply another way of saying “no one.” In any situation, if “everyone” is
accountable, then no “one” is accountable.
This is not to say that there are not people who have been tasked with aspects of the process. It is however to say that what it is to be accountable as a concept is very different from being accountable in action. This environment is one that not only doesn’t pull for accountability in action, but actually argues against it. What is argued for is reasons and explanations, not accountability. They are two distinct worlds.
that question been asked, and had the truth been told, the answer would have
been “no one.” What would have been said,
and I know this as a function of having asked the question “Who is accountable
for progress?” of a wide sampling of
conference participants is “we all are.”
Which is simply another way of saying “no one.” In any situation, if “everyone” is
accountable, then no “one” is accountable.
This is not to say that there are not people who have been tasked with aspects of the process. It is however to say that what it is to be accountable as a concept is very different from being accountable in action. This environment is one that not only doesn’t pull for accountability in action, but actually argues against it. What is argued for is reasons and explanations, not accountability. They are two distinct worlds.
So
there I am in a room full of the people who have been selected to craft what
could be said to be one of the most important agreements of our time, it is
clear to everyone that the rate of progress in crafting that agreement is
dramatically insufficient for completing the agreement by December, everyone is
complaining about the lack of progress, and there is no one in the room who
holds him or herself accountable for the on-time completion of the
agreement. That is the actuality of the
situation, and as such, that there is a lack of progress is far from
surprising, and to think that anything will come from this meeting that will
make any significant impact in progress is to be truly delusional and not
operating in reality. The person who
could make that difference, the only person who could make that difference, the
person accountable, isn’t even in the room.
This is in no way intended to negate or diminish the commitment of the parties involved in this proceeding, or to lay fault or blame on anyone. This is only intended to shine a light on the nature of the environment in which the proceedings are occurring, and the impact of that nature on both the rate of progress and the power (or lack thereof) of the participants to impact the situation.
there I am in a room full of the people who have been selected to craft what
could be said to be one of the most important agreements of our time, it is
clear to everyone that the rate of progress in crafting that agreement is
dramatically insufficient for completing the agreement by December, everyone is
complaining about the lack of progress, and there is no one in the room who
holds him or herself accountable for the on-time completion of the
agreement. That is the actuality of the
situation, and as such, that there is a lack of progress is far from
surprising, and to think that anything will come from this meeting that will
make any significant impact in progress is to be truly delusional and not
operating in reality. The person who
could make that difference, the only person who could make that difference, the
person accountable, isn’t even in the room.
This is in no way intended to negate or diminish the commitment of the parties involved in this proceeding, or to lay fault or blame on anyone. This is only intended to shine a light on the nature of the environment in which the proceedings are occurring, and the impact of that nature on both the rate of progress and the power (or lack thereof) of the participants to impact the situation.
What
we have in the absence of an environment of real accountability in these
negotiations is an environment of “everyone doing their best given the seemingly
inherent constraints of the situation.”
What is shaping the thinking and acting and thereby determining the rate
of progress isn’t any real commitment to progress, and more specifically to a
specific rate of progress, but rather the “reality” in which the co-chairs,
delegates and facilitators “find” themselves at work.
we have in the absence of an environment of real accountability in these
negotiations is an environment of “everyone doing their best given the seemingly
inherent constraints of the situation.”
What is shaping the thinking and acting and thereby determining the rate
of progress isn’t any real commitment to progress, and more specifically to a
specific rate of progress, but rather the “reality” in which the co-chairs,
delegates and facilitators “find” themselves at work.
To
get a glimpse of this “reality” you only need to listen to the language of the
conference. The “why’s” and “who’s” that
are assigned as the culprits in the lack of progress. Statements like “these are political
discussions and as such cannot be pushed, cannot move any faster” or “our job is
to bring the countries to the table, but given the complexity of the parties
involved, we cannot make them commit to anything”, or “governments X,Y and Z do
not move any faster than this” or “this is how things move at this stage of the
negotiations and it always goes this way.”
get a glimpse of this “reality” you only need to listen to the language of the
conference. The “why’s” and “who’s” that
are assigned as the culprits in the lack of progress. Statements like “these are political
discussions and as such cannot be pushed, cannot move any faster” or “our job is
to bring the countries to the table, but given the complexity of the parties
involved, we cannot make them commit to anything”, or “governments X,Y and Z do
not move any faster than this” or “this is how things move at this stage of the
negotiations and it always goes this way.”
What
you hear is multiple expressions of the same thing – “Our hands are tied, and
we are doing the absolute best that anyone could do given the constraints in
which we are given to operate.” These
constraints, the “reasons”, “explanations” and “because’s”
that the participants relate to as “real” are what is holding the conference
hostage, and are what is thwarting any possibility of generating an agreement
in Paris that would ensure for our people and our planet a future of
sustainability.
you hear is multiple expressions of the same thing – “Our hands are tied, and
we are doing the absolute best that anyone could do given the constraints in
which we are given to operate.” These
constraints, the “reasons”, “explanations” and “because’s”
that the participants relate to as “real” are what is holding the conference
hostage, and are what is thwarting any possibility of generating an agreement
in Paris that would ensure for our people and our planet a future of
sustainability.
These
people are held hostage not as a function of the constraints they talk about;
they are held hostage by the illusion that those constraints are “real.” They are victims of a condition, a condition of “reasons and explanations”, a condition they have no real choice in the matter of, a condition they don’t even see.
people are held hostage not as a function of the constraints they talk about;
they are held hostage by the illusion that those constraints are “real.” They are victims of a condition, a condition of “reasons and explanations”, a condition they have no real choice in the matter of, a condition they don’t even see.
In
response to this lack of progress, this crisis of accountability, I have
submitted to the co-chair of the conference, in partnership with a colleague at
UNFCCC, a proposal to work with the co-chair and facilitators in generating an
environment of accountability for the upcoming Bonn negotiations.
response to this lack of progress, this crisis of accountability, I have
submitted to the co-chair of the conference, in partnership with a colleague at
UNFCCC, a proposal to work with the co-chair and facilitators in generating an
environment of accountability for the upcoming Bonn negotiations.
It
will be interesting to see the response.
However it goes, at least for my own integrity, I no longer have to bear
witness to the insanity of the situation without having at least offered what I propose could make a real difference.
will be interesting to see the response.
However it goes, at least for my own integrity, I no longer have to bear
witness to the insanity of the situation without having at least offered what I propose could make a real difference.